Friday, 26 August 2011

Phil Parkinson - Stat Pack.

I would like to thank Paul_1978 of the Bradford City Official Message Board for allowing me to publish this stats pack he drew up on Phil Parkinson.


For anyone who is questioning Phil Parkinson's managerial record, I've looked at his stats and compared it against other previous City managers.

After some general viewing of various manager stats, any manager who consisently gains over 50% of wins over their career (vs draws and defeats) is going to be a sought after manager by a long chalk. Take for example Alex Ferguson, in one of his first jobs at St Mirren, his win rate was 44% over 169 games. At Aberdeen, 59% over 459 games, and at Manchester United 59% over just short of 1400 games.
Arsene Wenger has got a similar stat of 57% over 851 games.
Harry Redknapp's career spanning win rate is 40%, with 48% of his games at Tottenham resulting in victories.

So a good benchmark against these long serving Premiership managers shows that a win rate for 45% to 60% and you're going to be one of the best managers in the country.

Let's compare this against some City managers, with their win rates in their time at City, with some other detail for comparison:

Lennie Lawrence - win rate of 41% over 77 games at City (low of 29% over 77 games at Grimsby)
John Docherty - win rate of 35% over 83 games at City; (Millwall 38% over 173 games before he joined City).
Terry Dolan - 46% win rate over 112 games at City; (40% at Rochdale over 100 games, 31% at Hull over 322 games, and 32% at York over 173 games)
Trevor Cherry 41% win rate over 201 City games.
Stuart McCall - win rate 35% over 133 City games. (37% at Motherwell over 30 games so far)
Colin Todd - 32% win rate over 135 City games; (high point was 43% at Bolton over 183 games).
Bryan Robson - 25% win rate over 28 games; (at Middlesbrough, win rate was 38% over 282 games).
Jim Jefferies - 28% over 53 games; (at Hearts before he joined us, he had a very credible 45% over 242 games. After City, he attained 36% at Kilmarnock over 325 games, and 41% at Hearts again over 61 games).
Paul Jewell - 39% over 117 games at City (best was Wigan with 44% win rate over 291 games, but just a 21% win rate at Derby over 58 games).
Peter Taylor - 39% win rate over 46 games; (with highs of 55% at Gillingham and Brighton, and a lowest of 32% at Southend). A 42% win rate over his overall league career (ie not including England U21s).
Chris Kamara - 33% win rate at City over 122 games.
Nicky Law - 26% win rate over 87 games (but has attained 45% win rate at Alfreston over 208 games).
Peter Jackson - 21% over his 19 games (35% over 92 games at Lincoln, 41% over 198 games in his second spell at Huddersfield, and 35% over 94 games in this first spell).

So out of all those well known managers, only Terry Dolan has achieved entering the magical 45%+ bracket with a win rate of 46% whilst at City.
But managers such as Jim Jefferies and Peter Taylor have achieved 45%+ at other clubs, and Nicky Law in non-league.
Managers achieving 40%+ but less than 45% include Lennie Lawrence, Colin Todd, Paul Jewell and Peter Jackson.

By my reckoning, to have some sort of reasonable shot at success, we need to be looking at a win rate of 40%+ over a longish period. (It is notable that Jacko achieved this at Huddersfield over just short of 200 games, very similar record to Trevor Cherry's record at City).

This therefore takes us onto Phil Parkinson who is apparently the favourite.

At Colchester United, his win rate was 42% over 187 games. At Charlton Athletic this was 39% over 114 games. His spell at Hull was a realtively short 24 games with a win rate of 21%.

The spell at Hull aside, his record makes for encouraging reading I feel. Let's say that the half way mark between his spells at Colchester and Charlton is 40/41%. This would put him on a par with Lennie Lawrence and Trevor Cherry, and much better than McCall, Todd and Jefferies, and a shade better than Jewell and Taylor.

In spite of all the shenanigans going on at City at present, Phil Parkinson's record seems more than OK. I just hope that if he does become the manager that he can undertake his duties without interference and to attain and perhaps improve on the the impressive win rates that he has achieved at Colchester and Charlton.

No comments:

Post a Comment